Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b04fedba779eed9bfbc435f2821a7dd31369c50e2deba9bc7651d2806769d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 16,923$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,573.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 20c | 10,031$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 75c | 3,580$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,344$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 2,717$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.07 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 37c | 2,716$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 8c | 1,434$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Yes | 67c | 1,130$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 8c | 1,076$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,165.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,064$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.81 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 37c | 1,033$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 19c | 1,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 35c | 899.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 44c | 866.47$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 57c | 783.93$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.43 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 7c | 783.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.6 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 14c | 731.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…4588backed Yes | 70c | 729.1$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 599.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.74 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 49c | 597.41$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 592.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…63cbbacked Yes | 73c | 561.85$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 518.64$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 494.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +654%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 38c | 487.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 39c | 467.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 426.88$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.02 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 7c | 419.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 14c | 366.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…8ac9backed Yes | 63c | 334.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 44c | 322$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 321.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…af59backed Yes | 72c | 317.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 35c | 317.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 311.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…18e4backed Yes | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 37c | 298.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 34c | 294.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 39c | 281.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 280.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…e343backed Yes | 38c | 264.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 7c | 263.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 251.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 247.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 6c | 246.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 7c | 242.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 49c | 237.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked Yes | 61c | 236.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 76c | 231.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…d414backed Yes | 39c | 224.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 36c | 222.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 9c | 221.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 37c | 221.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 8c | 203.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +910.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 20c | 201.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 14c | 199.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 195.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 185$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2c40backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…8469backed Yes | 7c | 170.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,269.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…0d48backed Yes | 8c | 169.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,215.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…4feebacked Yes | 7c | 167.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 66c | 158.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Yes | 37c | 157.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 152.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e327backed Yes | 72c | 151.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Yes | 68c | 147.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 35c | 138.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…3b30backed Yes | 7c | 137.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +584.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 80c | 136.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 37c | 134.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…9429backed Yes | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +298.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 38c | 131.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 71c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 36c | 102.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 21c | 100.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 35c | 100.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…e986backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…fe79backed Yes | 15c | 99.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +300.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…6036backed Yes | 26c | 77.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 66c | 75.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 61c | 72.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 34c | 59.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.