Movies · resolved market

Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a64177ff1b6d97ee10af881fded5407508b65ce7f89cac1ff52e70b19782743

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,855 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes	79c	3,750$2,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	24c	1,682$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.56	231	30.3%70 W · 161 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Yes	74c	1,215$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.44	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed No	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	24c	990.42$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	25c	955.36$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.59	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	70c	947.77$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.79	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	74c	830.2$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.32	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	29c	749.62$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.11	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes	72c	746.61$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked No	32c	683$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.56	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfef6…e212backed Yes	72c	667.71$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.71	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed Yes	68c	665$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.8	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No	32c	599$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.68	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	32c	590$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.8	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb04e…d4aabacked No	33c	588.75$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8151…7259backed No	22c	586$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.41	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-58%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	72c	572.01$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.71	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	26c	555.09$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.01	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	69c	542.01$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.35	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed No	21c	505$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	73c	490.72$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.52	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	24c	475.5$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.15	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	24c	434.41$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.16	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes	68c	428$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.96	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ace…6069backed No	26c	426.85$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No	27c	359.58$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes	76c	356.92$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.92	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548b…8390backed Yes	76c	353.24$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.8	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	26c	335.22$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.34	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	49cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No	28c	333.46$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.09	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes	68c	332$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.24	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes	68c	315$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes	73c	315$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.9	198	36.4%72 W · 126 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed No	32c	308$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.56	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	29c	271.8$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.54	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…c6d4backed Yes	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes	68c	267$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.44	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	74cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	27c	261.08$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.78	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	57c	258.78$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.9	346	51.2%177 W · 169 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	23c	243.42$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.94	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes	73c	227.01$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.31	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…e37fbacked No	23c	216.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No	32c	215$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	72c	206.23$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.54	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed No	32c	205$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.6	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes	68c	205$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.6	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes	77c	201.59$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.07	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x416b…bad6backed Yes	65c	200.29$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed Yes	68c	198$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.36	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4faa…fecfbacked No	32c	196$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	20c	191.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.26	156	41.7%65 W · 91 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes	68c	174$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.68	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes	76c	170$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Yes	73c	168.23$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.46	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes	74c	162.77$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.77	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Yes	77c	162.34$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.34	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed No	23c	157.87$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes	76c	149.34$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.34	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed No	26c	140.52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.17	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No	24c	135.32$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-44%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aff…0512backed Yes	74c	134.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.86	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed No	26c	133.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked No	39c	129.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-5.1wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	22c	120$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.97	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed No	26c	103$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No	36c	102$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.67	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b72…dca9backed Yes	74c	100.6$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	90	1.1%1 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	6cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8500…3de4backed Yes	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked No	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	67cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Yes	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…9149backed Yes	73c	90.49$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.43	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes	68c	86$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.52	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No	19c	84.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	170	10%17 W · 153 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Yes	61c	81.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.81	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefda…fadcbacked No	35c	81.41$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked No	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed No	32c	75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed Yes	76c	70$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0845…c4edbacked Yes	66c	69.74$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	26c	65$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	266	41.7%111 W · 155 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8722…542dbacked Yes	74c	65$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	23c	59.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	208	50%104 W · 104 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ab…aaebbacked Yes	72c	58.45$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	64c	56.27$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5927…672bbacked Yes	68c	55$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.84	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Yes	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9d…8445backed Yes	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…ce37backed Yes	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c86…e223backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked No	27c	44.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd1…9c20backed No	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-43%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes	78c	42.34$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No	33c	39.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe841…a62ebacked Yes	71c	35.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
Will Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Will Jesse Plemons (Bugonia) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event