Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a77f2490aa9e0173f14a5e40b0cae9762d07ee2d7fe17b1183d73751fa35b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe667…898fbacked No | 0c | 15,992$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,465$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.02 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 11c | 1,193$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,128$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 29c | 1,033$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 532.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 72c | 361$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 327.54$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.71 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 303.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 296.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 18c | 251.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 212.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 28c | 159$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 27c | 155$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed Yes | 19c | 135$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 71c | 110.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 86.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 43c | 83.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked No | 16c | 77.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…9592backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 28c | 64.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 25c | 59.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 49.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 46c | 49.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 41c | 48.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 40.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 73c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 73c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 34.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.45per pick | 63cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 76c | 23.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 18.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.