Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x536f500c0e4db39f678f84d01899b07918afefb32250bcb98e946d87b9344a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Falcons | 30c | 15,660$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.74 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 14,215$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 11,623$8,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.67 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…9160backed Team Falcons | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 5,760$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 5,425$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.78 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,832$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.52 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 30c | 3,654$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.05 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 3,201$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.94 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,861$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 29c | 2,807$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.91 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,485$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.07 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 2,441$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.57 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,330$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.87 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 30c | 2,256$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.91 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 28c | 2,032$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.89 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,928$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.61 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,905$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.67 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 1,817$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…8a72backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 28c | 1,629$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.34 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,625$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Falcons | 31c | 1,611$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,600$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,412$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 1,374$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.23 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,214$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,158$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,120$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,089$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Team Falcons | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 951.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…c7c9backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 928.24$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Team Falcons | 31c | 912.9$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 867.98$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed Team Falcons | 28c | 860.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 797$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 762.68$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 753.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 669.89$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 613.88$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 588.29$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 583.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 507.53$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 29c | 500$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 451.47$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 28c | 449.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…c58fbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 417.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 416.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 400$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 399.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 385$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 30c | 360.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 357.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 30c | 352.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 347.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 347.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Falcons | 33c | 327.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 293.1$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 285.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Team Falcons | 33c | 285$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 285$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 267.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 264.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Falcons | 8c | 259.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 28c | 246.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 228.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 217.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 217.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 29c | 209$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 198.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 188.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…cb6abacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 181.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 163.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…27ccbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 149.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 142.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…7580backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 139.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 136.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Team Falcons | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 124.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.