College Football · resolved market
Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f99fd3637b746073d804678fdbb5e79ba00010d2509d2d5fb11bb97258aae9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffaloof Eastern Michigan, Buffalo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eastern Michigan | 25c | 9,166$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Buffalo | 75c | 8,416$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Eastern Michigan | 53c | 1,793$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.73 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Buffalo | 77c | 1,593$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Eastern Michigan | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan | 50c | 1,213$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.36 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Eastern Michigan | 23c | 1,138$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Buffalo | 31c | 1,117$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.79 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Eastern Michigan | 37c | 1,007$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Buffalo | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Buffalo | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Buffalo | 65c | 766.92$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buffalo | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Eastern Michigan | 24c | 749.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Buffalo | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Buffalo | 64c | 506.07$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Buffalo | 70c | 495$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Michigan | 23c | 355$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Eastern Michigan | 42c | 332.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buffalo | 61c | 242$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Michigan | 20c | 208.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Buffalo | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Buffalo | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Buffalo | 47c | 132.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Buffalo | 34c | 120.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Buffalo | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed Buffalo | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…f778backed Buffalo | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Eastern Michigan | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed Eastern Michigan | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Eastern Michigan | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Eastern Michigan | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Buffalo | 67c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Buffalo | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Eastern Michigan | 24c | 61.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Buffalo | 79c | 58.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…b676backed Buffalo | 68c | 56.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Buffalo | 77c | 55.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Eastern Michigan | 23c | 55.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Buffalo | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Buffalo | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Michigan | 48c | 47.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Buffalo | 68c | 35.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Buffalo | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…35debacked Buffalo | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Buffalo | 61c | 23.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…a286backed Buffalo | 80c | 21.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…c452backed Buffalo | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…2066backed Buffalo | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalothis page
- Spread: Buffalo (-9.5)Eastern Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.