Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a1a15273fa0c18bf93f23058e2e8e3d0814989a7572ada140c032786d9861b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVULUSof Cheeki_Breeki, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9024…a444backed Cheeki_Breeki | 2c | 5,400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Cheeki_Breeki | 52c | 1,810$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.61 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AVULUS | 29c | 1,609$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.08 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 1,270$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed AVULUS | 57c | 1,168$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.91 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 30c | 959.71$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 882.7$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.92 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 58c | 859.15$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Cheeki_Breeki | 70c | 643.08$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Cheeki_Breeki | 46c | 549.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked AVULUS | 79c | 489.34$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked AVULUS | 34c | 487.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed AVULUS | 58c | 474.9$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 410.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 9c | 399.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed AVULUS | 54c | 383.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…d968backed AVULUS | 51c | 296.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked AVULUS | 54c | 292.16$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Cheeki_Breeki | 12c | 291$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed AVULUS | 29c | 283.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Cheeki_Breeki | 71c | 280.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 279.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed AVULUS | 48c | 265.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked AVULUS | 44c | 254.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…16b7backed AVULUS | 44c | 245.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked AVULUS | 51c | 234.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 223.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked AVULUS | 30c | 216.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Cheeki_Breeki | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 47c | 209.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed AVULUS | 45c | 207.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AVULUS | 54c | 200.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked AVULUS | 58c | 172.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…c7dfbacked AVULUS | 40c | 161$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…8b7fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 56c | 159.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Cheeki_Breeki | 47c | 154.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked AVULUS | 42c | 151.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…73d5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed AVULUS | 48c | 142.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 137.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked AVULUS | 46c | 129$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 121.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…a2d1backed AVULUS | 57c | 118.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked AVULUS | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…0807backed AVULUS | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…6babbacked AVULUS | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Cheeki_Breeki | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked AVULUS | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Cheeki_Breeki | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…cf6cbacked AVULUS | 30c | 98.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cheeki_Breeki | 26c | 94.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked AVULUS | 50c | 91.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 14c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed AVULUS | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked AVULUS | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…2f8ebacked AVULUS | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 68.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 67.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked AVULUS | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed AVULUS | 58c | 64.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 75c | 62.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked AVULUS | 79c | 62.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…bd47backed AVULUS | 49c | 58.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed AVULUS | 18c | 58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Cheeki_Breeki | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed AVULUS | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 67c | 46.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…6c06backed AVULUS | 61c | 44.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…02a6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked AVULUS | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…2a86backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 40.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AVULUS | 49c | 37.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…3e9bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 61c | 36.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Cheeki_Breeki | 70c | 36.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…79b6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 72c | 29.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed AVULUS | 45c | 26.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked AVULUS | 71c | 23.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 60c | 21.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…339ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…c0efbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Cheeki_Breeki | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerAVULUS won
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 2 WinnerAVULUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.