Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2912497204efbcfca21580476a8c9f684bd3b2b5104fa776d9678050d44c017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof PARIVISION, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 29,391$15,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,814.56 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 12,500$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.66 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 8,169$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 7,651$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.3 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 7,577$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.38 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 59c | 7,116$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.97 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 7,100$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked PARIVISION | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 4,495$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.35 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 3,134$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.25 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,890$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 2,638$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION | 24c | 2,253$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.56 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,060$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.19 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,779$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.83 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,211$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.37 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,160$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.17 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed PARIVISION | 33c | 1,140$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,077$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.75 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…4bd5backed PARIVISION | 3c | 1,010$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 937.25$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 923.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.24 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 23c | 900$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 893.05$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…7269backed PARIVISION | 8c | 870$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 24c | 807.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 764$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.42 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed PARIVISION | 38c | 758.79$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 756.86$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.73 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 722.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed PARIVISION | 25c | 700$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 63c | 695.13$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.35 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 53c | 662.68$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 653.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.21 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 49c | 635.93$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION | 24c | 631.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 604.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION | 26c | 602.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION | 5c | 580.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 567.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 509.35$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 24c | 504.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 449$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 445.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked PARIVISION | 23c | 430.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 401.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed PARIVISION | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed PARIVISION | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 395.02$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 386.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed PARIVISION | 56c | 324.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed PARIVISION | 16c | 314.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 312.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 297.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 294.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.66 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 294.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 257.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 248.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 245$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 241.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 224.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed PARIVISION | 54c | 214.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 210$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 59c | 206.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed PARIVISION | 9c | 200.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed PARIVISION | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed PARIVISION | 44c | 194.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed PARIVISION | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 183.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 174$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…e12dbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 173.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed PARIVISION | 10c | 166.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 158.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 18c | 157.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…04d0backed PARIVISION | 17c | 151.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…3ae1backed PARIVISION | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 131.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…4bfdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 131.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 130.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 28c | 127.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 122.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 122.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PARIVISION | 25c | 118.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 115.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.