Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc21b57c6af14ed33209c0fdc3ea12a8ef9e69e304f4b8ad624ec6c7247e4627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof PARIVISION, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 29,387$19,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,285.34 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed PARIVISION | 35c | 25,280$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,848 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 18,666$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8c65backed PARIVISION | 0c | 15,194$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 15,065$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,508.38 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 14,614$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 13,307$8,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.22 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 11,102$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105.24 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed PARIVISION | 35c | 10,286$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed PARIVISION | 22c | 9,612$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.71 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 9,233$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.66 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 66c | 9,037$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed PARIVISION | 6c | 8,250$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.65 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 8,016$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.47 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 8,000$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 7,526$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.72 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 13c | 6,000$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.21 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…0ca5backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 5,398$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 5,000$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 4,700$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 3,894$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.58 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 3,881$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.55 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 3,794$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 3,615$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 3,575$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.21 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed PARIVISION | 65c | 3,351$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.15 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 3,337$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.23 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…f406backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,294$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,145$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed PARIVISION | 35c | 2,856$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed PARIVISION | 35c | 2,794$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,700$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.94 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 67c | 2,672$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed PARIVISION | 55c | 2,658$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed PARIVISION | 35c | 2,633$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed PARIVISION | 64c | 2,630$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.91 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,523$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,312$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed PARIVISION | 65c | 2,229$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.59 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 2,173$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 2,000$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed PARIVISION | 36c | 1,781$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.16 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,775$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.53 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,650$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.45 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed PARIVISION | 36c | 1,575$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,527$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,487$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,442$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.88 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,437$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.5 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 1,418$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.38 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…92d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,409$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,374$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.88 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9509…1d91backed PARIVISION | 39c | 1,330$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 39c | 1,304$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,244$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…cac8backed PARIVISION | 12c | 1,227$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,175$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.25 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,146$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.63 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,045$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.86 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,043$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.63 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed PARIVISION | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed PARIVISION | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 923.85$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.39 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 905.47$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.16 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 889.16$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed PARIVISION | 64c | 840$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 836.23$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.3 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed PARIVISION | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed PARIVISION | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…ae99backed PARIVISION | 66c | 750$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…607ebacked PARIVISION | 65c | 696.57$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 695$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…2061backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 679.24$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 606.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PARIVISION | 10c | 600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c99dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed PARIVISION | 41c | 599.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed PARIVISION | 14c | 560$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 556.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 528.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.13 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 520.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 515.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 514.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.57 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed PARIVISION | 34c | 496.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed PARIVISION | 64c | 454.19$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 36c | 447.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked PARIVISION | 64c | 444.3$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed PARIVISION | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 433$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed PARIVISION | 39c | 423.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.