Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94325030670d3196d05065fcedcc9503c89a589ba17458516fdb3d83bdef1932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Nigma Galaxy, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 5,089$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.4 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 2,446$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.75 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,525$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.74 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 1,432$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.78 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,400$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.08 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,219$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.16 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,119$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.4 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 1,109$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.87 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,082$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.32 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 996.13$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.26 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 979.1$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 956.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 925.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 888.73$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…6cddbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…1e3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 850$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 796.38$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 790.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 737.41$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 686.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 600$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 568.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 533.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 491$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 446$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.78 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 401.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 401.02$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 374$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 353.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 318.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 291.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 286$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 265.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 221.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…a9e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 205.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9f…bcbebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 203.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 202.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 189.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 182$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 173.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 167.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 162.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…d6c1backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 162$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 145.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 125.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 114.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 112.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 92.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 69.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 59.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 54.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 53.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 52.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 42.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 34.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 33.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 25.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…96f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 25.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 25.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.