NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d81f3f6be40480673d1d3115bc461fbc91c673483bb335d5aeff1bf4c75e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,347 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 500,941$249,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,858.31 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 128,715$64,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,198.01 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 118,687$59,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,343.31 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 99,751$49,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,875.35 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 48,000$24,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,520 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 21,500$10,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,660 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 17,482$8,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.35 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 12,134$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.86 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.94 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 5,088$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.32 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 4,035$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.41 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,810$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 50c | 3,004$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.77 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.59 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.66 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 1,711$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.16 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,700$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.8 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 52c | 1,502$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 1,493$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.27 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 1,446$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.08 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Under | 53c | 1,413$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.53 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 50c | 1,100$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 1,004$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.36 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 872.93$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.74 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 51c | 872.71$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.63 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 50c | 801.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 56c | 759.25$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.36 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 48c | 737.08$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.8 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 47c | 647.2$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 50c | 625.13$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 616.28$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 51c | 512.27$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 51c | 470.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bc…519ebacked Over | 46c | 452.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 43c | 438$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…657cbacked Under | 54c | 427$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 68c | 424.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 421$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…4dccbacked Under | 54c | 411.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 49c | 407.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4256backed Over | 46c | 386.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 383.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 50c | 383.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 372.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 371.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 51c | 361.82$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Under | 35c | 349.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 50c | 304.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 51c | 291.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 285$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 53c | 267.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Under | 68c | 251$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 51c | 235.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 52c | 234.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 51c | 230.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 230.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Under | 51c | 213.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 50c | 211.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Under | 53c | 205.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 51c | 203.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 51c | 202.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 50c | 197.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 196.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 51c | 195.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 51c | 192.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 160.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 156.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Under | 51c | 144.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 50c | 137.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 50c | 136.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 132.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 38c | 130$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 50c | 123.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 51c | 120.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 50c | 120.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 117.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 50c | 117$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 57c | 101.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. KrakenAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.