NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9c6b31a7df00fb528a2543ab5b9e2125e2706bb770aa180e695db6648755279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,118 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 44c | 5,541$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.85 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 56c | 2,882$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.97 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Avalanche | 45c | 2,394$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.81 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Kraken | 56c | 2,236$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.29 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kraken | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.3 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 55c | 1,083$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.42 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Kraken | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Avalanche | 44c | 671.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche | 44c | 341.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Avalanche | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 55c | 247.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Kraken | 57c | 233.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Avalanche | 44c | 227.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Avalanche | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Avalanche | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kraken | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kraken | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Avalanche | 44c | 172.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 35c | 165.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Avalanche | 44c | 161.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Avalanche | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kraken | 55c | 136.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kraken | 55c | 123.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Avalanche | 45c | 117.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Avalanche | 44c | 113.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Kraken | 47c | 106.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Avalanche | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Kraken | 56c | 86.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Avalanche | 44c | 85.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Kraken | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kraken | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 45c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Avalanche | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Avalanche | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Kraken | 57c | 52.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Avalanche | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Avalanche | 44c | 45.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Avalanche | 47c | 42.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Avalanche | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Avalanche | 62c | 40.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Kraken | 57c | 35.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Kraken | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Kraken | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Avalanche | 44c | 34.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 41c | 30.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Avalanche | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kraken | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. KrakenAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.