TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$703,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,927 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over40c483,153$193,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,261.162450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under60c200,000$120,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,0006347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c93,187$56,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,850.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under61c81,879$49,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,317.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under60c62,982$37,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,214.6233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over39c50,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.8719549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under60c47,492$28,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,996.937160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Under60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c5,241$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over38c4,025$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.48743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under61c3,777$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.123046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.27444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over38c2,882$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under62c2,557$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.529652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under77c1,960$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.962673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under78c1,857$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.32650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under73c1,796$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under60c1,585$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.819542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under63c1,318$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.299137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under73c1,097$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.07966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c959.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under60c929.74$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under60c912.05$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under60c850$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over31c840.86$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.014825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under60c730.29$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5623244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c682.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.996328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under62c580.65$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.657464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over41c451.66$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1811346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c424.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…5034backed Over41c424.7$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7eb…eb13backed Over41c404.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16016251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.631560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over17c379.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.616842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under60c368.45$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over23c318$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.143420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over29c298.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1511136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over40c275$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under65c266.49$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.638547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under62c262.9$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over5c252.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c239.73$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under61c203.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.621850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c198.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.721861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over40c192.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.311643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under61c184.85$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3724955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.823353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under60c167.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9920452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under62c151.61$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063850%19 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under60c147$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.815259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under63c139.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2242…9decbacked Over41c136.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over40c134.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over40c124.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under64c121.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.24546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0afb…19acbacked Over41c118.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2177…5165backed Over41c117.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under61c109.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.846100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over24c106$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.748854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0922…d5dcbacked Over41c101.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Under74c101.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.057450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Under61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under61c95.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2621251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c93.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Under65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Under66c91.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over41c90.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.988752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4e…5e06backed Under61c83.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under61c81.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9633144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under61c81.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9265backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6b8…0d55backed Over41c68.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under61c65.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe102…c4d8backed Over23c64.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Under61c63.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over19c62.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under61c61.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.783063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.