TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,483 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over61c37,386$22,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,805.548743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c13,492$6,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,320.382,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c12,825$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,823.2540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.946839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8802552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over33c7,327$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.031241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over57c3,480$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c3,158$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.081,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c3,154$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.320544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under42c2,136$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over61c1,748$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.2937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.057945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa455…3ef0backed Under44c1,260$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under38c1,050$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65117744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over50c989.61$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.818033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c951.88$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c897.85$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over59c846.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c748.64$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over57c695.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c666.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.844748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over60c630.1$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.066659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Under40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3755131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe39…5c3cbacked Under42c570.26$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under33c518.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c510.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c499.39$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c446.5$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over56c402$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1211349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c388.49$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c348.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0138547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c338.83$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over53c330.19$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over57c314.46$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.314825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over64c304$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over40c263$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c253.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under43c232.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.552552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under53c231.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.173857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under39c227.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9419542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over32c220$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c189.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.379937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under43c187.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.761050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over62c179.03$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6109…8607backed Under42c178.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c160.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9118125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.389353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over36c141.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc7…404bbacked Over59c124.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.47852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.47953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under39c115.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7835…4ad1backed Over59c110.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under44c104.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over61c103.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under39c93.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.811150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under80c92.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+102%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Over61c82.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over35c74.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.979661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under41c73.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3613445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over16c73.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over47c63.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under44c60.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c9…1798backed Under57c59.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under39c59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.999137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under69c57.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.98856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d1…3c3dbacked Under42c56.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under42c55.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under40c54.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0321251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under42c52.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.459857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over24c45.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over27c44.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over55c41.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8811136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Over59c40.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.