Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ebf148dd3e2cc5784206dfbf1f0da5caa0fd3a20d2ef50dffdcfc5890c6f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,322 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,904$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 17c | 952.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 22c | 891.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Under | 19c | 778.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 646.64$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 64c | 633.75$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 349.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 324.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…f02abacked Over | 68c | 295.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Over | 64c | 270$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 54c | 269.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 54c | 237$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 53c | 202.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 40c | 197$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 53c | 188.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Under | 21c | 142.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 79c | 134.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 131.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 59c | 131$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 18c | 118.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…f600backed Over | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 20c | 60.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 75c | 48.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 39c | 35.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 79c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…8260backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Over | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.