TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Atalanta BCof FC Internazionale Milano, Atalanta BC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,150 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8929…733ebacked FC Internazionale Milano17c1,215$207 inLost-$206.924825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atalanta BC80c1,143$914 inWon+$228.929137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked FC Internazionale Milano17c293$49 inLost-$48.6535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bf…bf2bbacked FC Internazionale Milano22c227.27$50 inLost-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked FC Internazionale Milano23c207.52$47 inLost-$471258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Atalanta BC78c134.95$106 inWon+$29.2733148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked FC Internazionale Milano22c104.55$23 inLost-$231118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Atalanta BC79c81.2$64 inWon+$17.056960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Atalanta BC78c75.78$59 inWon+$16.6749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked FC Internazionale Milano21c69.69$15 inLost-$14.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Atalanta BC78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.133144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed FC Internazionale Milano22c64.1$14 inLost-$14.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed FC Internazionale Milano21c48$10 inLost-$10.0827226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Atalanta BC78c17.73$14 inWon+$3.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.