Tennis · resolved market
Sion: Murkel Dellien vs Ryan Nijboer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa067759408810febf67cd8e81bf720a67397c4dacec92001032c9760b99c1e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryan Nijboerof Murkel Dellien, Ryan Nijboer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Murkel Dellien | 59c | 16,589$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.34 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ryan Nijboer | 42c | 9,156$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ryan Nijboer | 51c | 5,515$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 3,213$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.18 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…98c5backed Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 2,319$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Murkel Dellien | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ryan Nijboer | 55c | 2,084$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.58 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Murkel Dellien | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Murkel Dellien | 1c | 1,838$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Murkel Dellien | 2c | 1,662$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Murkel Dellien | 44c | 1,465$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.61 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…b37bbacked Ryan Nijboer | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 758.43$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Murkel Dellien | 20c | 757.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Ryan Nijboer | 73c | 612.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 69 | 76.8%53 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Murkel Dellien | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ryan Nijboer | 50c | 467$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Murkel Dellien | 50c | 458.29$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Murkel Dellien | 43c | 420.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ryan Nijboer | 46c | 398.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.03 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Murkel Dellien | 20c | 393.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Murkel Dellien | 49c | 305$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Ryan Nijboer | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Ryan Nijboer | 58c | 267.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Murkel Dellien | 9c | 255.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryan Nijboer | 70c | 239.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Murkel Dellien | 45c | 225.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Murkel Dellien | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Murkel Dellien | 53c | 199.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Murkel Dellien | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Murkel Dellien | 43c | 161.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Murkel Dellien | 44c | 158.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Murkel Dellien | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Murkel Dellien | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Murkel Dellien | 44c | 98.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Murkel Dellien | 44c | 93.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Murkel Dellien | 39c | 92.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Murkel Dellien | 47c | 77.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Murkel Dellien | 42c | 75.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Murkel Dellien | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Murkel Dellien | 33c | 65.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Murkel Dellien | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…6326backed Ryan Nijboer | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 60.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…7698backed Murkel Dellien | 56c | 51.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Ryan Nijboer | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Murkel Dellien | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Ryan Nijboer | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 41.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Ryan Nijboer | 55c | 38.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Murkel Dellien | 44c | 36.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Murkel Dellien | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Ryan Nijboer | 80c | 35.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b6…b993backed Murkel Dellien | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…f06fbacked Ryan Nijboer | 79c | 34.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Murkel Dellien | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Murkel Dellien | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Ryan Nijboer | 55c | 28.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Ryan Nijboer | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Ryan Nijboer | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ryan Nijboer | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Ryan Nijboer | 69c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sion: Murkel Dellien vs Ryan Nijboerthis page
- Set Handicap: Nijboer (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5)Nijboer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.