TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb4b…f06f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6269.4%43 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US Open, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Alvesbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.07
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.71
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.96
Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.09
Roehampton 2: Marcus Walters vs Millen Hurrionbacked Millen Hurrion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Conor Gannonbacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$5.81
Roehampton 2: Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bondingbacked Oliver Bonding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$6.88
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$9.16
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$10.01
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.34
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$10.4
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianubacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Philip Henning vs Rodrigo Fernandesbacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$12.99
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$5.3
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broombacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$12.94
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53%+$12.09
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.