Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Philip Henning vs Rodrigo Fernandes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4dd7cc526327e528778bfe7708283e2500bbdf54d75540be257b9e98d79d634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Fernandesof Philip Henning, Rodrigo Fernandes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Philip Henning | 23c | 1,389$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 6c | 1,253$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.27 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 56c | 1,240$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.85 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Philip Henning | 54c | 1,031$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.3 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 73c | 614.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Philip Henning | 10c | 555.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Philip Henning | 11c | 337.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 61c | 248.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Philip Henning | 21c | 195.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 77c | 187.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 73c | 163.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 58c | 140.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 79c | 112.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 48c | 78.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 35c | 73.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Philip Henning | 28c | 73.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philip Henning | 52c | 71.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Philip Henning | 21c | 67.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 36c | 66.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…f06fbacked Philip Henning | 42c | 63.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 55c | 50.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Philip Henning | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 54c | 44.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 77c | 40.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 178 | 60.7%108 W · 70 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Rodrigo Fernandes | 71c | 28.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 65c | 26.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Philip Henning | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Rodrigo Fernandes | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.