TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Kumstatof Jan Kumstat, Filip Jianu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Filip Jianu10c32,512$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.5574439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Filip Jianu4c12,563$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Jan Kumstat73c8,839$6,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.4866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Filip Jianu27c7,407$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Filip Jianu26c5,328$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.1561152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Jan Kumstat72c4,861$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.1136346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Filip Jianu10c3,556$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.221,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Filip Jianu2c3,034$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.774,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Filip Jianu3c2,819$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5848331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Filip Jianu27c2,741$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.6911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Filip Jianu14c2,677$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.794,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jan Kumstat74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.951,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Filip Jianu28c1,710$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7542934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Filip Jianu12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Jan Kumstat72c1,472$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1622856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Filip Jianu4c1,330$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.271,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Filip Jianu17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Filip Jianu9c1,120$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Jan Kumstat73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Filip Jianu27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27033346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Filip Jianu23c899.97$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5722346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe66…285cbacked Filip Jianu4c875.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.463215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Jan Kumstat73c844.95$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.921,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filip Jianu22c791.63$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.478,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jan Kumstat73c772.46$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.643,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Jan Kumstat74c750$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.55360.4%32 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Jan Kumstat73c702.46$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4630251.3%155 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Filip Jianu28c670.46$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7340935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Jan Kumstat74c607.9$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0514656.2%82 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Filip Jianu25c599.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Jan Kumstat75c599.79$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.955158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Jan Kumstat74c557.15$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8628954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Filip Jianu28c547.36$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2617942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Filip Jianu28c530$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.445850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Jan Kumstat72c430.08$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4231253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Filip Jianu4c388.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Filip Jianu8c360.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8227836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Jan Kumstat73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.471,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Filip Jianu3c334$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015229.6%45 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f3…4cfdbacked Filip Jianu10c309.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Filip Jianu27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Filip Jianu5c282.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jan Kumstat74c270.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.891,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Jan Kumstat74c268.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5791754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Kumstat75c266.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.662,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Filip Jianu26c237.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7313053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d22…2bafbacked Filip Jianu29c225.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee3e…f651backed Filip Jianu18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Filip Jianu7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524231%75 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f3…cf28backed Filip Jianu9c211.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Filip Jianu10c198.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Jan Kumstat73c197.26$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.268061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Filip Jianu27c196$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9269545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Filip Jianu26c195$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Filip Jianu28c180.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed Jan Kumstat74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.164470.5%31 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Filip Jianu25c156.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Jan Kumstat77c153.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.410761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15b…128abacked Jan Kumstat72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.214671.2%104 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e8f…497dbacked Jan Kumstat73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Jan Kumstat74c136$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3642743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Jan Kumstat72c134.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.481,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Jan Kumstat75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3330268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Filip Jianu23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Filip Jianu27c129.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.964129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Filip Jianu23c117.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6360341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Jan Kumstat75c109.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2484968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Filip Jianu28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Filip Jianu26c96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.067,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Jan Kumstat74c80.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7942748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Filip Jianu25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked Filip Jianu28c79.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Jan Kumstat74c78.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3330150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Jan Kumstat73c69.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7533650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Jan Kumstat73c66.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0715374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Jan Kumstat75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.678867%59 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Jan Kumstat75c65.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4920146.8%94 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Filip Jianu26c56.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.591,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Filip Jianu28c55.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88da…e801backed Jan Kumstat73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7912143%52 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Jan Kumstat72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1434864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Jan Kumstat73c43.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.684436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Jan Kumstat73c41.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2917660.2%106 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4b…f06fbacked Jan Kumstat74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.546269.4%43 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Jan Kumstat72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.219347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Filip Jianu27c37.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Jan Kumstat72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.365158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Jan Kumstat75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Jan Kumstat72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jan Kumstat72c33.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3924051.3%123 W · 117 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Jan Kumstat74c28.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Jan Kumstat73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6511056.4%62 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Jan Kumstat74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2437058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jan Kumstat75c23.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9930235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc605…eb01backed Jan Kumstat72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Jan Kumstat72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0428164.4%181 W · 100 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3057…3bd6backed Jan Kumstat72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0966…514bbacked Jan Kumstat74c14.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.861566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.