WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5820c8e9a93940e0a3bcaba3d3073a897c1266a2e4d7bf49a675c760a0b61584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 129,407$32,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,351.67 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Dream | 75c | 72,385$54,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,256.36 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 34,876$9,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,002.46 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 73c | 27,385$20,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,278.94 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 16,661$12,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.25 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Atlanta Dream | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 14,669$10,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.31 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 9,547$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 8,810$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.22 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Atlanta Dream | 79c | 8,641$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 7,272$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.2 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Atlanta Dream | 74c | 5,907$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 5,701$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.94 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 5,198$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.29 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Atlanta Dream | 69c | 4,781$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 4,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 4,435$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 3,832$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.17 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 69c | 3,633$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.2 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream | 74c | 2,759$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.46 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 2,434$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream | 69c | 2,371$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.08 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream | 73c | 2,125$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.75 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 2,026$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 1,903$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.02 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 1,750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 1,726$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Dream | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 1,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 1,319$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.81 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 6c | 1,105$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,062$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 1,018$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 952.93$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 915.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Atlanta Dream | 75c | 851.08$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 746.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Dream | 79c | 699.03$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Atlanta Dream | 78c | 677.05$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Dream | 71c | 670.67$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Dream | 76c | 613$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 610.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Phoenix Mercury | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…011bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 575.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 469.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 451.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 444.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 438.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 406.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c0…33d1backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 387.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 381.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 362.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 348$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Dream | 65c | 314.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Atlanta Dream | 74c | 299.94$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 291.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 64c | 256$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 249.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Dream | 68c | 236.54$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 223.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 214.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Atlanta Dream | 74c | 212.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 69c | 211.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Dream | 73c | 210.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Atlanta Dream | 77c | 202.74$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 185.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 184.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 161.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 160.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 159.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…42d9backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Dream | 78c | 145.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…f398backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 142.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 140.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Atlanta Dream | 80c | 136.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…26e6backed Atlanta Dream | 71c | 128.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…fdd3backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 125.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Atlanta Dream | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 109.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 108.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.