WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3b557c71c914fc52c0c9a0df0fa7fa2905211cc5be2fea5fef3bfa1a2a171c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 3,207$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Over | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 1,546$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.97 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,279$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.71 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,279$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.43 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 51c | 1,148$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.42 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.92 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 1,074$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 930.75$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 51c | 903.05$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 56c | 895$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.8 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 868$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.66 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Under | 52c | 841.17$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 799.92$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…a132backed Over | 53c | 790.57$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 51c | 699.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 507.46$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 50c | 499.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Over | 66c | 470.58$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 46c | 470.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 421.19$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 405.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 268.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 261.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 254.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Under | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 209.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 80c | 180.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Over | 68c | 170$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 55c | 154.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 16c | 124.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 48c | 120.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 109.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 77c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 90.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 50c | 89.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 56c | 87.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 52c | 86.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 84.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 49c | 79.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 54.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 48c | 50.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 53c | 47.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 53c | 47.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 56c | 46.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 46.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 45.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 42c | 42.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 42c | 28.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 55c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Under | 50c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 20.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 56c | 18.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.