TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Phoenix Mercury
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury49c5,882$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88220947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream51c4,809$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.4250646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury49c4,629$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.9489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream51c4,583$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.0378548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream70c2,428$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.9137141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury28c1,655$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.261,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Atlanta Dream55c1,471$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6624438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe8…2cbabacked Atlanta Dream51c1,074$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.682166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury41c1,007$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Phoenix Mercury50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Atlanta Dream56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury43c755.55$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1592248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Phoenix Mercury53c711.21$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream49c622.72$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.521,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Atlanta Dream47c564.22$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.049650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury38c557.87$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3338650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Phoenix Mercury45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Phoenix Mercury44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury43c374.08$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8546247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream62c371.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5723049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Atlanta Dream47c365.5$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.728743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Dream62c311.46$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.42075%15 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Phoenix Mercury44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9085…34fabacked Phoenix Mercury48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.650%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury42c289.81$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6264152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Atlanta Dream50c289.18$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.593354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Dream58c282$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Phoenix Mercury53c271.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream47c254.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9983748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Atlanta Dream63c249.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.441650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Atlanta Dream50c237.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Phoenix Mercury49c235.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.282035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Dream50c224.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3915048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Phoenix Mercury53c181.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Atlanta Dream63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Atlanta Dream51c154.93$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.76845.6%31 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5076…711abacked Atlanta Dream64c151.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Atlanta Dream61c150.24$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.063956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Phoenix Mercury38c143.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.659651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury34c142.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6337850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury45c134.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6099548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Phoenix Mercury43c130.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Phoenix Mercury51c128.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.915738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Atlanta Dream51c116.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.639336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Phoenix Mercury45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Phoenix Mercury53c106.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.292552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Phoenix Mercury42c104.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3817343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Phoenix Mercury45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Atlanta Dream58c97.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3710050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Phoenix Mercury30c93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.924546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Atlanta Dream56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.163043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fac…cd46backed Atlanta Dream57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Phoenix Mercury45c74.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.464148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Atlanta Dream21c73.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2815451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury45c57.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2628558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Atlanta Dream56c53.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Atlanta Dream51c51.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.026053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Atlanta Dream62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Phoenix Mercury43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Phoenix Mercury39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.493647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Atlanta Dream50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.259345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8599…ad67backed Phoenix Mercury53c48.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Phoenix Mercury43c45.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.382040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Atlanta Dream47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.329351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Dream50c42.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4720340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Atlanta Dream59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.375850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Atlanta Dream57c40.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Phoenix Mercury50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Atlanta Dream59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Phoenix Mercury50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Atlanta Dream50c29.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Atlanta Dream62c29.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc28b…3683backed Atlanta Dream63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Dream56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7726953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Atlanta Dream50c25.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.615547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Atlanta Dream56c24.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe201…b90bbacked Atlanta Dream59c23.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Phoenix Mercury48c22.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Dream49c21.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8923644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed Atlanta Dream56c18.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Atlanta Dream62c16.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.