WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1649fc2a146e8c9aa0d846276e41e16b9ec10479e440bd46dd6dd49aa79c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 53c | 3,395$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.34 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 2,440$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.92 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,327$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.5 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 1,926$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.97 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 66c | 1,665$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.92 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 1,478$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.26 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 31c | 1,200$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 1,039$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 47c | 992$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Over | 51c | 982.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 976.17$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.07 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 856.81$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 799.42$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.72 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 619.93$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Over | 54c | 556.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 530.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 435.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.1 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 431.58$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 427.84$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 52c | 425$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 53c | 419$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 269.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 213.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 71c | 170.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 67c | 164.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 53c | 123.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…6984backed Under | 47c | 109.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 109.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Over | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 58c | 95.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 88.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 71c | 87.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked Under | 49c | 85.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 84.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 71c | 83.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 49c | 81.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 26c | 77.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 77.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 27c | 69.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 60.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 62c | 54.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 39c | 46.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 48c | 43.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 38.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 52c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 53c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 53c | 19.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.