TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Phoenix Mercury
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Atlanta Dream53c58,702$31,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,501.983455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Phoenix Mercury47c21,454$10,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,124.5326953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Phoenix Mercury48c13,072$6,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,225.283740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury47c7,605$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.9638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury47c7,372$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.246247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury47c5,538$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Atlanta Dream53c4,245$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.283745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury47c3,975$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream50c3,871$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.1199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury47c3,780$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.711,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Dream54c3,561$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.262075%15 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury49c3,006$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.9978548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Phoenix Mercury47c2,847$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.225541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream53c2,531$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.8813048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Phoenix Mercury47c2,526$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.211353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Phoenix Mercury47c2,378$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.4841145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90083748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Phoenix Mercury41c1,790$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73423746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Dream53c1,562$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.0364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury44c1,292$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.950646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Atlanta Dream66c1,060$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Phoenix Mercury51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury47c944.86$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8392248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cf…99a6backed Atlanta Dream59c745$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.411376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream51c675.8$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury44c544.25$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4934726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Phoenix Mercury38c526.58$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Phoenix Mercury49c496.33$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.72339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Atlanta Dream53c468.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.24951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream59c410.28$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.161,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Dream47c399.9$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3232540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury42c382.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5632150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382f…c116backed Atlanta Dream72c306.16$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Dream54c300$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1399651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream67c297.89$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2337141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Phoenix Mercury40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Atlanta Dream60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Atlanta Dream63c227.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3341147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaad1…172ebacked Atlanta Dream45c220.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.741764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Dream59c212.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2613256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Atlanta Dream58c203.18$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.115853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Phoenix Mercury47c203$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3210050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9312045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Atlanta Dream46c180$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.44461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Phoenix Mercury45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream70c142.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3222967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Phoenix Mercury35c136.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phoenix Mercury51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8515741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Phoenix Mercury41c134.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.372433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phoenix Mercury52c127.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8723955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Atlanta Dream53c126.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.421361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Phoenix Mercury44c125.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.962828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury46c119.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.939245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Phoenix Mercury47c109.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.785738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Atlanta Dream44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4513138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Atlanta Dream52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury45c91.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Phoenix Mercury20c89.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7d…7161backed Phoenix Mercury45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Atlanta Dream59c85.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.35949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Phoenix Mercury45c83.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Phoenix Mercury33c78.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8424546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d48…f398backed Phoenix Mercury40c78.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Atlanta Dream54c74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.049444.7%42 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Phoenix Mercury31c64.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-76.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Phoenix Mercury43c64.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7410454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Phoenix Mercury45c60.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.144542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Phoenix Mercury42c59.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Phoenix Mercury48c51.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Atlanta Dream55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.515748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Phoenix Mercury45c48.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.932948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Phoenix Mercury48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Dream61c43.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8926147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Atlanta Dream49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Phoenix Mercury48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream52c40.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.737850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Phoenix Mercury37c40.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9134918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4c3…f0a1backed Atlanta Dream52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Atlanta Dream57c35.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Atlanta Dream51c35.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.272462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury47c35.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6630347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Phoenix Mercury47c33.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.684355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Phoenix Mercury57c33.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9530649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Phoenix Mercury45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Phoenix Mercury39c30.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9915451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Phoenix Mercury49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Phoenix Mercury49c27.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.457248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed Atlanta Dream73c20.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.