Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf860d8511900a95aa35c04baf9633536130815c7b0908d9f0a135d8538064fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalibor Svrcinaof Dalibor Svrcina, Felipe Meligeni Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5929…4684backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1c | 12,324$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1c | 10,725$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0c | 9,649$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2c | 9,179$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 5c | 8,134$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 4c | 5,013$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 9c | 4,997$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 5c | 3,551$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 4c | 3,528$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 20c | 2,943$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.1 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 2,619$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.25 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 16c | 2,389$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.25 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 4c | 2,053$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 2,020$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 72c | 1,801$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.89 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 13c | 1,459$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 16c | 1,340$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 1,178$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 831.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 26c | 675.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 641.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 417.95$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 19c | 409.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 342.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 10c | 273.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Dalibor Svrcina | 74c | 265.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 200.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 196.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Dalibor Svrcina | 77c | 189.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 21c | 186.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 12c | 186.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Dalibor Svrcina | 73c | 184.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 16c | 156.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Dalibor Svrcina | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Dalibor Svrcina | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Dalibor Svrcina | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 133.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Dalibor Svrcina | 75c | 118.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…d6e2backed Dalibor Svrcina | 75c | 116$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 26c | 96.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 18c | 95.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 88.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 17c | 87.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 21c | 73.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 21c | 69.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 61.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dalibor Svrcina | 74c | 58.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 45.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Dalibor Svrcina | 73c | 44.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 43.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dalibor Svrcina | 74c | 30.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dalibor Svrcina | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Dalibor Svrcina | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…f06fbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 77c | 17.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Dalibor Svrcina | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…f7b2backed Dalibor Svrcina | 75c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 14.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Alvesthis page
- Set Handicap: Svrcina (-1.5) vs Alves (+1.5)Svrcina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.