TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c201,134$96,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,544.521,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c37,904$19,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,860.551,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c17,359$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,114.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c14,071$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,176.361,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c10,667$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,427.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over48c9,824$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.1787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c4,767$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.3354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c3,383$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c3,189$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under50c2,907$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,711$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.11,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,581$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.8880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c2,354$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.8687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,100$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0263,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c2,085$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.6250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over57c1,760$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.212844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,090$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under49c1,039$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.7817344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c1,009$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c995.87$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over57c950.9$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2820651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over46c779.22$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8716139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c744.89$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.047862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under47c490.03$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Over53c471.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over57c437$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over49c320.29$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3617960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c312.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.752,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under57c281.74$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.193,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbc…b889backed Under67c219.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.938264.6%53 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…4183backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Over57c203.51$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over50c201.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.646552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over49c186.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c178.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed Over57c174.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.461090%9 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.49per pick41cpaid+193.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0f42…249ebacked Over56c173.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c153.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.932,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c149.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over53c140.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under52c117.81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Over50c108.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.412759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c101.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9953453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over20c100.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5023249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5632346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over52c96.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under47c95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c88.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Over56c87.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.756165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x796f…c23dbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c78.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under47c72.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…7a67backed Over56c71.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Over60c67.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Under40c61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.64637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under50c60.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over57c57.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over39c57.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.233641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5304…61cfbacked Under47c55.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c51.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under51c45.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over34c44.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…de63backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3be…4cd6backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under48c31.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2824330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Over49c30.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c29.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Over49c26.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8814236.6%52 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Over55c24.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758451.2%43 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa20…7ec5backed Under46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b9…5822backed Over56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7120448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.260267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.624428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.