TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets49c46,447$22,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,885.392,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers51c41,000$20,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,09060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rockets50c20,066$10,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,033.2359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets50c14,238$7,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,122.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Clippers47c13,727$6,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.347653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets51c13,700$7,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,008.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers51c12,602$6,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,174.971,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets50c10,504$5,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2522,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Rockets50c10,118$5,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,05926648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers48c10,000$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,150.1977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets53c8,937$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,736.611,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Rockets50c8,921$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.4215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Rockets50c8,684$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,34237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Rockets50c7,278$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.9642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Clippers50c6,500$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers49c4,970$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.951,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers50c4,021$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.561,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Clippers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Rockets50c3,934$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets53c3,837$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.612,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets49c3,696$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Rockets49c2,954$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.8527052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Rockets50c2,837$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets51c2,400$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Clippers47c1,940$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.23737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets50c1,901$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.2648054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Clippers49c1,868$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.4527747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers55c1,819$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.621,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets49c1,736$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.651,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Rockets53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8481,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Clippers50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets46c1,121$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers51c1,021$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5426640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Clippers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Rockets51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5107150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets49c976.38$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.193,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers52c820$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Rockets54c660$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.48252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Clippers51c627.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.972680.8%21 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+59.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers47c612.54$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.651,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers48c550.42$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Rockets53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6316139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Rockets50c400.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0612056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Rockets50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19716640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Clippers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1620552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Clippers48c338.16$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2215649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Rockets50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Rockets51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535022%11 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Clippers50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rockets50c239.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.861,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Clippers49c211.86$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8621355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Clippers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3352242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6133…9613backed Clippers48c202.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Rockets17c197.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.043641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets54c189.44$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.663,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6881845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Clippers47c185.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.433250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c1…9511backed Rockets53c174.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rockets50c163.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7323150.2%116 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f4…a532backed Rockets50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Clippers50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Rockets51c151.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5304…61cfbacked Rockets50c131.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.691770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Rockets50c113.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5520448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Clippers46c102.34$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0318957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Clippers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4946826.5%124 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Clippers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Rockets52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Clippers47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1125753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Clippers47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.114837.5%18 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Clippers48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3326824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Rockets50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Rockets51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Clippers51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432556%14 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers44c76.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Clippers47c64.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1332450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…ea25backed Rockets51c61.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Clippers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Rockets50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Clippers53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Rockets53c56.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.861,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f8…c493backed Rockets53c55.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72540%10 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Clippers48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0819940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Rockets53c50.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c39…9acbbacked Rockets51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.