NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5aacb99c43b173fbda0a9517028511ecd718e14e4f221938846b132777e54c9

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $122,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $122,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,117 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4cbf…6cf0backed Over	51c	66,945$34,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,141.87	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	50c	22,065$11,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,032.5	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under	49c	19,959$9,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,179.18	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Under	49c	17,996$8,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,095.92	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	49c	10,200$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,199.62	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,299.99	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under	49c	7,659$3,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,878.48	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	52c	7,454$3,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,885.77	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	49c	6,852$3,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,494.28	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.98	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under	49c	4,599$2,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,345.69	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	49c	3,797$1,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.03	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under	49c	3,175$1,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.06	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under	49c	2,787$1,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.71	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	49c	2,780$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.8	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under	44c	2,568$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,438.52	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	54c	2,181$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.05	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	45c	2,090$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.98	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	53c	2,001$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.53	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	55c	1,987$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.9	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	53c	1,064$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.83	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over	58c	794.95$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.07	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Over	58c	258.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over	50c	240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under	50c	218$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	53c	188.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over	54c	149.76$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.44	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	62c	135.55$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	56c	129.84$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.43	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5304…61cfbacked Under	49c	128.66$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.62	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	50c	122.88$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.44	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over	49c	118.37$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	51c	110$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.9	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	54c	98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed Over	57c	80$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under	13c	80$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.6	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over	56c	79.63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc054…7877backed Over	50c	78.39$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	37c	72.95$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.96	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	44c	59.88$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.38	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	56c	55.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	61c	54.28$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over	38c	52.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	40c	48.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.14	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408a…fb8cbacked Over	58c	44.83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under	45c	43.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.18	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over	62c	42.53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	215	53.5%115 W · 100 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6515…b867backed Over	58c	37.81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	48c	37.49$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.54	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under	38c	30.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	53c	30.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over	53c	26.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under	50c	21.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	82	50%41 W · 41 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Over	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	59c	18.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5this page
Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Brook Lopez: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Clippers vs. RocketsClippers won
Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Under won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event