TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869f…7a8bbacked Rockets77c26,127$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0004052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers32c8,366$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers43c6,979$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers42c3,027$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b8…51cfbacked Clippers5c2,600$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+168.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…7b07backed Clippers4c2,400$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2951030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+362.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef4…83f4backed Clippers4c2,200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+599%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Clippers45c2,148$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.4927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Rockets54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08013355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers40c1,896$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.611,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed Clippers6c1,840$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.21030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+425.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets54c1,838$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.5564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Clippers43c1,810$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.73737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Clippers46c1,571$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.525339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Clippers45c1,544$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.3121446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers43c1,325$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers43c1,241$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Clippers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4117241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Rockets48c1,016$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.2827052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Clippers3c1,000$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9708540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers52c923$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.243,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Clippers3c800$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7762623.1%6 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+428%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers42c657.85$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers52c531.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.211,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Clippers46c513.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.288350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Rockets60c417.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clippers42c319.39$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.882,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Clippers48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets33c292.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.113,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Rockets50c253.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8343543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers43c227.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1563447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Clippers68c202.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.924259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Clippers42c196.48$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.963250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers61c196.39$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6561957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets36c161.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.693,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f3…e437backed Clippers46c156.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.461241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78d…7a18backed Clippers70c148.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rockets57c137.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.923845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Clippers35c121.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.364637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers48c107.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Rockets55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5549358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Rockets55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Clippers43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5715649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Clippers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4843246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Rockets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Rockets52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…9913backed Rockets53c94.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Clippers44c78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6816139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Rockets52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Clippers42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3714…1af6backed Rockets57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Clippers46c68.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.072147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1727…629dbacked Rockets52c55.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.061233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Rockets52c55.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0629352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Clippers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2539864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Clippers69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Rockets55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.537549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Clippers42c49.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3692…2136backed Clippers42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Clippers42c46.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.15933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Rockets57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Clippers46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Rockets56c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Rockets57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Rockets57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Rockets57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Rockets55c34.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Clippers40c32.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6318957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Clippers48c30.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0613750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Clippers43c27.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Rockets57c27.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5913957.6%80 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Clippers44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4416343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Clippers47c22.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rockets55c20.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.229645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c44…752ebacked Clippers80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.