NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6129e92e44fb228c31e50aad838baf8818bd0aa5bccce6f828404927c0361e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 24,608$11,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,966.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 21,777$11,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,542.64 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 20,765$10,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,578.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 51c | 19,570$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.7 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 51c | 10,037$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.48 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 5,773$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.88 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 50c | 3,714$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 52c | 3,002$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.96 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,789$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 49c | 2,776$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,643$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,660$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 854.2$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.64 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 48c | 529.22$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 494.67$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 405.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 52c | 128.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 52c | 97.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 52c | 97.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 73.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Under | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 42c | 52.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 52c | 50.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 52c | 47.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 50c | 44.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 70c | 42.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 40.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 52c | 39.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 39.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 38.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…7c48backed Under | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Under | 52c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…c436backed Under | 52c | 26.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 52c | 25.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 47c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Under | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 52c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…a0fdbacked Under | 52c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…045abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf685…dbd3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 52c | 19.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 55c | 18.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Hawks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hawks won
- Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.