TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over52c39,212$20,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,511.7311656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c29,656$13,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,242.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over56c26,961$15,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,208.747266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c24,837$13,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,163.5938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under47c23,259$10,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,327.156152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c12,818$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,821.542,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed Under50c11,815$5,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,907.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over50c9,885$4,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,942.3917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Over50c8,024$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.811747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c7,285$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under50c6,800$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c5,628$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Over50c3,791$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under48c2,020$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.5722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,627$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under50c1,573$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.3812950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under48c1,546$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under47c1,117$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.0229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under50c850.42$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2117550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under43c633$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.811,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under47c584.83$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9617960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over54c546.56$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c504$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over53c446.23$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.526755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c421$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c412.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c283.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under45c228.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9320149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c196$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.821,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under44c178.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2113750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over49c177.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under43c171.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2123256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c163$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.912,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c144.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.355,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c117.43$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over60c112.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over57c108.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6185147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c78.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Over58c64.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.49960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…a6d5backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c60.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.972,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over33c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over30c58.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under44c57.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.096924.6%17 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under46c52.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.619048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over52c52.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over55c45.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c44.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.992,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over58c41.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c39.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.292,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c37.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf518…af6bbacked Under52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under42c34.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Under45c32.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.722454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over59c30.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under43c28.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over53c27.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3635450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under47c26.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.219051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under47c26.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8420456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c21.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.631,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb8…bed9backed Over49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0077…4825backed Over65c19.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.