NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17d8afec45ca5f81a45e26fa394343253814722068d85610df45ac48166d871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 51c | 52,931$27,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,210.2 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 21,384$10,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,044.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 46c | 18,215$8,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,836 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 5,270$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 5,103$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 3,513$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 3,064$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.54 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,564$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 2,208$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.35 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 2,193$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,376$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 973.47$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.47 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 626.3$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 47c | 594.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 583.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.91 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 60c | 323.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 307.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 295.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 33c | 273.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 228.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Over | 56c | 179.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 10c | 167.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 34c | 128.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 128.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 117.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 65c | 116.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 112.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 103.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 13c | 100.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 49c | 96.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 42c | 84.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 80c | 39.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 42c | 39.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 39.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 66c | 34.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 33.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 48c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 48c | 32.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 55c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 51c | 26.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 54c | 21.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Hawks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hawks won
- Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.