TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hornets, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks62c6,914$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Hawks48c5,182$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.8110553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hornets54c4,678$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.9683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Hornets42c4,322$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8336258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets44c3,165$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Hornets35c2,768$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.9724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Hawks57c1,289$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks66c1,187$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.171,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Hawks51c963.64$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Hornets75c850$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.514251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets46c843.33$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Hawks54c784.9$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0543543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets35c747.35$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets40c726.4$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5616335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Hawks57c707.27$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hawks60c478.87$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets47c414.01$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets38c403.53$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Hornets35c399.47$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7224330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Hornets35c376$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.629243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Hawks55c365.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hornets52c318.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks58c301.73$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hawks67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets56c267.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Hornets45c257.6$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9227747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hawks65c249.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets42c247$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.741,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Hornets65c224.58$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0724846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hawks61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets47c187.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.272,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b1…7064backed Hornets52c184.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets41c181.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets76c180$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.441,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets47c164.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15d…d581backed Hornets43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010739.3%42 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks58c158.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Hawks66c152.81$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2423845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Hornets66c147.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.667546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets57c134.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hornets40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Hawks55c123.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.126653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawks37c121.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.181,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2b54…97b8backed Hawks58c121.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Hornets51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hawks57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.337850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Hawks57c108.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8450648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hornets61c108.61$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Hawks27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7317331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Hornets35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+63.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9761056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets35c81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hawks54c79.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Hornets35c77.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2850841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb480…0106backed Hornets45c74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets73c70.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.241,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Hawks57c69.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8339864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Hornets44c68.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1615649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks34c65.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1caf…f649backed Hawks62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets70c59.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Hawks61c58.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7257657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Hornets42c56.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Hornets49c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Hawks51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Hornets43c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Hawks56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6419940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Hornets37c44.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x240a…9e0bbacked Hornets45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Hawks57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.497545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Hornets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets62c39.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.473,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Hornets35c38.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.534546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Hawks56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2237949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ec…4b20backed Hawks55c36.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb314…9459backed Hornets45c36.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b8f…1090backed Hornets45c36.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Hornets50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…745dbacked Hornets46c35.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+69%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc592…a7f0backed Hawks57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52c7…e564backed Hawks56c34.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6497…d577backed Hawks56c34.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x919f…5a1fbacked Hornets45c34.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4082…f5b2backed Hawks56c32.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.491250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12dd…9a0cbacked Hornets45c32.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae38…af07backed Hornets45c32.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bde…c70cbacked Hornets46c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e54…fffdbacked Hawks56c32.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf45d…fc79backed Hornets45c31.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf02…27c6backed Hawks56c31.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9de…bd0abacked Hawks56c31.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae5…45b7backed Hawks55c31.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hawks64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1146940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa3…fdafbacked Hornets45c30.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…cb61backed Hornets45c30.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3094…3b08backed Hawks56c30.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b97…6c05backed Hawks56c30.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+81.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6d…2427backed Hawks56c30.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8e…c44abacked Hornets45c29.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.