TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Over54c28,452$15,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,434.17266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c26,136$12,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,933.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c20,000$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,299.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c14,102$7,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,127.1738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c13,917$7,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.171,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Over52c13,669$7,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,107.7847848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over51c8,725$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4509051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over56c7,300$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4867…d5b8backed Under53c6,958$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c6,089$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.2840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under45c5,787$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.6720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c5,483$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9945348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…b901backed Over51c4,480$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under43c3,758$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c3,523$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2b…17f0backed Over47c3,383$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over51c2,922$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4639…1b4dbacked Over47c2,819$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c2,618$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.633,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Over51c2,353$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9926755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c1,770$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c1,423$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under50c1,225$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Over51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4594264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c834.54$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…b945backed Over51c829.41$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4231070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under49c813.59$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081b…1e22backed Over47c755.77$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c714.76$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under44c639.14$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1418241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under49c630.77$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c447$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.972,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1610048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under45c371.55$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0813750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c271.19$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.931,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c250.5$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.765,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb39…a1f6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.621,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c156$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under50c151.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8817960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over52c145.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5433653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under48c135.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9920149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Under45c111.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.571030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over25c102.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.344637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c99.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1131947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over53c79.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under49c48.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over28c44.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4418957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over51c43.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1417750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under62c43.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4323047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c42.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under44c42.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c41.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.812,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under49c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.659141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c39.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over33c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.043641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over55c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…7a67backed Over52c28.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over55c27.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.