NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca48e9637e31afa64c44e6489ef16d1213d791904a636f3f86701fc4ce3b654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 58c | 24,581$14,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,345.85 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 20,917$8,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,201.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 55c | 2,654$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.7 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 45c | 2,588$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,847$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,588$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.76 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 1,545$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,409$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,371$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 32c | 1,323$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.94 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 790.39$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…123abacked Under | 78c | 766.03$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 496.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 458.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Under | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 26c | 293.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 42c | 289.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…1535backed Over | 73c | 204.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 20c | 173.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 171$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 15c | 164.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 62c | 161.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 156.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 18c | 129.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 121.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 76c | 65.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 44c | 64.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 23c | 44.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 39.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 57c | 38.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc054…7877backed Over | 50c | 38.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Under | 43c | 33.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49be…6f44backed Under | 49c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 29.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 62c | 29.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 29.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 41c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…3e8dbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 60c | 26.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…bd2ebacked Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Hawks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hawks won
- Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.