NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ce286bd33a25d7b567e38925f5d469749be1143b0f0b4275f91f3fc031adbee

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hornets, Hawks
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,301 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8d36…68fdbacked Hawks	54c	9,319$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,318.88	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Hawks	60c	8,333$4,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,337.9	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Hornets	40c	8,250$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	45c	4,492$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,016.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets	44c	4,490$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983.87	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks	54c	4,020$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.2	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hornets	46c	3,550$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	26c	3,197$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,354.18	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets	46c	2,227$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.5	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Hawks	53c	2,200$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Hawks	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	47c	1,912$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.42	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b8…1762backed Hawks	53c	1,792$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.45	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.3wins	+0.37per pick	52cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Hawks	52c	1,600$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hawks	51c	1,535$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.28	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Hawks	60c	1,504$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.15	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+6.2wins	+0.24per pick	57cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks	54c	1,500$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks	54c	1,500$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.99	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets	43c	1,455$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.25	163	35.6%58 W · 105 L	-12.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks	55c	1,248$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.71	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Hornets	46c	1,082$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.7	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	44c	691.93$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.72	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Hawks	52c	660$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.8	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Hawks	53c	625$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.01	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets	46c	597.83$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets	47c	560.91$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.23	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets	49c	542.86$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks	52c	499.99$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.99	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Hornets	42c	440$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.8	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hornets	48c	384.89$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.75	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Hawks	56c	335$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.4	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Hornets	47c	299.99$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Hornets	53c	245.87$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	-13.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets	38c	237.45$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.23	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	60c	222.5$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.08	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Hornets	48c	210.42$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	213	55.9%119 W · 94 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets	48c	208$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Hornets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Hawks	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hornets	46c	177.64$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.72	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Hornets	46c	174.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.85	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Hawks	55c	173.82$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.43	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Hornets	49c	173.47$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Hawks	51c	172.62$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.02	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets	48c	166.07$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Hornets	47c	140$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.8	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Hawks	65c	138.46$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…fd97backed Hawks	65c	138.45$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks	42c	134.17$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.01	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Hornets	49c	102.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Hornets	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Hornets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Hawks	57c	98$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.14	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…9913backed Hornets	53c	94.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07bf…bc57backed Hawks	53c	94.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.29	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Hawks	53c	90$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Hawks	62c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.4	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hornets	47c	78.47$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Hornets	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	602	67.3%405 W · 197 L	+46.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Hornets	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Hornets	48c	67.16$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Hornets	49c	67.03$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Hawks	56c	64.8$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.31	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Hawks	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Hornets	43c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Hornets	45c	56.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	219	37%81 W · 138 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hornets	48c	56.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Hornets	47c	56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Hawks	52c	51.91$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.67	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7169…3f14backed Hawks	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Hornets	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Hornets	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Hawks	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Hornets	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Hornets	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	192	58.3%112 W · 80 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Hawks	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Hornets	47c	44.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Hawks	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Hornets	40c	41.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Hornets	46c	41.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Hornets	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	292	47.9%140 W · 152 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Hawks	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	215	53.5%115 W · 100 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Hornets	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hornets	47c	39.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets	41c	38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks	59c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8218…155bbacked Hawks	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hornets	43c	34.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Hornets	41c	34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Hornets	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Hawks	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Hawks	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hornets	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa444…75debacked Hornets	48c	27.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.4wins	-0.28per pick	49cpaid	-57%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Hornets	46c	26.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	220	44.5%98 W · 122 L	-14.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Hornets	47c	26.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Hornets	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Hawks vs. HornetsHornets won
Hawks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 8.5No won
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hawks won
Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event