Earnings · resolved market
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd0550322357a47468b0ee9402a0bb9b47e50e700cdb6a23e485d02bd725f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 32c | 573.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.26 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…894cbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 72c | 478.04$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 28c | 362.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…daffbacked No | 30c | 332.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 21c | 248.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 27c | 245.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 35c | 170.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 63c | 135.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 104.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…61a0backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…d206backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a5…a8bbbacked No | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 27c | 95.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 64c | 77.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Yes | 73c | 77.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 29c | 69.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 20c | 69.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…3fbebacked No | 15c | 67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Yes | 74c | 57.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Yes | 68c | 55.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed No | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Yes | 74c | 50.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 49.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Yes | 75c | 45.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 44.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…964ebacked No | 36c | 40.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Yes | 61c | 39.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…6bb5backed Yes | 65c | 34.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Yes | 75c | 31.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 31.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…fe90backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…1aecbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa959…70cbbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…4ea5backed Yes | 76c | 29.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…84b3backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Yes | 75c | 26.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 66c | 23.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…8edbbacked Yes | 69c | 23.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 66c | 22.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…d360backed Yes | 71c | 22.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 79c | 20.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…3052backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…5b25backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc9…7e94backed Yes | 76c | 19.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…e0e4backed Yes | 66c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…c436backed Yes | 75c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked Yes | 76c | 18.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…560fbacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Yes | 77c | 14.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.