Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c9dc4e807fe5badccdf27573bbaa01bd1a379c792ed8092d843982309fea71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…7181backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 12,070$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 6,598$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.86 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons | 68c | 6,294$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.8 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 51c | 6,166$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.08 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 6,000$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.61 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,714$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,344$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.96 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 2,655$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.93 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,502$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.82 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,799$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,724$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,521$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.98 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,184$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.36 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,173$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.5 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,050$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.4 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,002$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 974.57$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 925.66$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.4 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 901.12$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 899$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.33 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 885.97$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.57 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 47c | 625.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 522.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.3 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 492.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 50c | 491$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 483.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 48c | 389.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Falcons | 54c | 367$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 44c | 353.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 343.83$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…0041backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 30c | 299.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 293.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…1a6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 287.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Falcons | 52c | 279.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 276.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 246.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Team Falcons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Team Falcons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…f3cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 186.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 161.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 161.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 47c | 160$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 130.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…c09cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 128.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 127.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Falcons | 50c | 125.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…fc8ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 123.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 116.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 113.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 110.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 107.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…b357backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 101.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Team Falcons | 50c | 98.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 97.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…745fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 50c | 94.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team Falcons | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…4f17backed Team Falcons | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 86.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 80.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 75.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 73.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 72.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 69.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 66.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 64.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 64.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 63.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 61.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…b222backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Falcons | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 56.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 54.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 51.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Falcons | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.