Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405306cb01ba35bbe86095e5ef810993f5e5e82311a9a3a3e4d0f2de1557ce4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 70c | 20,000$14,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.44 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 8,604$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.1 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 6,316$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.07 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 5,711$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.68 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 4,904$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.37 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 4,632$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.88 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,512$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.59 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,325$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.56 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 2,007$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,544$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,077$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 982.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 869.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Team Falcons | 63c | 838.29$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.46 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 798.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 773.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 707.73$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Falcons | 72c | 697.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 647.57$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 68c | 555.84$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Falcons | 75c | 538.33$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Falcons | 68c | 515.46$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 511.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 423.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 422.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 45c | 412.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 366.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 334.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 320.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 310$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 309.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Team Falcons | 71c | 290.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Falcons | 71c | 283.41$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 280.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 264.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Falcons | 60c | 262.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Falcons | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 64c | 231$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 200.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…fc8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 190.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…f3cfbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 151.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Team Falcons | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 147.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Falcons | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…0041backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 135.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 127.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 112.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…6ff1backed Team Falcons | 79c | 106.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 59c | 96.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 70c | 89.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…b222backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Team Falcons | 76c | 80.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 58c | 79.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…f987backed Team Falcons | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 71.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Falcons | 65c | 66.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Falcons | 69c | 64.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…be27backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 56.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 51.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 42.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed Team Falcons | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Team Falcons | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Team Falcons | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 39.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 37.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…b7a1backed Team Falcons | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…b357backed Team Falcons | 59c | 33.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 30.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 29.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Team Falcons | 65c | 25.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…892cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…9d09backed Team Falcons | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Team Falcons | 62c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Falcons | 67c | 20.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…d8b5backed Team Falcons | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Team Falcons | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Team Falcons | 68c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +253%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Team Falcons | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.