TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$634,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$520,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6f3…cf8ebacked No6c24,475$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked No5c24,235$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0482…6b0abacked No2c20,565$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked No2c14,390$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.06355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c13,328$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.692021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e1…aa05backed No3c12,419$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No4c11,874$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.8243835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed No5c11,651$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.995215.4%8 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c9,803$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.87799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f3…975cbacked No0c9,384$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.256830.9%21 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf295…9646backed No0c8,912$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No6c8,474$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.211323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed No4c7,999$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.123020%6 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No1c7,806$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No4c7,149$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4422834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84f…bc44backed No13c6,854$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.66100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacc…2eacbacked No2c5,741$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.99137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-79%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ce…944bbacked No13c5,633$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ed3…fcf8backed No2c5,033$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ee…f671backed No14c4,378$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No12c4,295$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5411632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed No1c4,258$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd063…5ccdbacked No17c4,201$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cb…5785backed No14c3,983$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda37…fa9ebacked No3c3,685$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No1c3,489$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.26098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed No4c3,400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.78922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf90…41f0backed No10c3,246$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c65…3e45backed No9c3,208$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick7cpaid+545.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3241…2cc5backed No8c3,178$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No7c3,148$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed No3c3,108$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.982313%3 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f0e…3165backed No3c3,100$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f14…7328backed No11c3,086$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No10c2,974$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3913044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No3c2,924$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2065…66debacked No5c2,727$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.78425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bc…0d48backed No2c2,701$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508732.2%28 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed No2c2,664$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.031513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c98cbacked No16c2,517$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked No3c2,508$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.775710.5%6 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No8c2,495$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.972937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6c2ebacked No4c2,424$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ef…8c52backed No16c2,341$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed No22c2,124$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.15425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b51…e49ebacked No3c2,105$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No1c2,061$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.612035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed No1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.195541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d1…d5c1backed No1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8930…9ac8backed No4c1,878$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aae…319cbacked No14c1,836$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.63110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af4…3725backed No5c1,738$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No3c1,679$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.822,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a0…e241backed No1c1,654$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef0…cf08backed No12c1,611$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed No3c1,548$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9488.3%4 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a60…2a67backed No15c1,533$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5515…34e4backed No13c1,522$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…0c2bbacked No3c1,520$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No2c1,500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.41010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d9…5490backed No14c1,500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…cc83backed No3c1,500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No2c1,500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a5…ef2ebacked No2c1,450$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.191020%2 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+167%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa022…77f8backed No10c1,441$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4221…64d8backed No4c1,432$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2952…97b0backed No11c1,387$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b7…2ddcbacked No4c1,316$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dda…df45backed No13c1,299$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…e2fbbacked No16c1,289$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9339…7f84backed No4c1,280$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed No1c1,253$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7822447.3%106 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No9c1,250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8421517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed No8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No6c1,234$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…7823backed No5c1,230$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.542330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No2c1,221$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9619545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a91…c163backed No17c1,194$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked No5c1,189$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03d0…7f4dbacked No23c1,169$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884a…aa34backed No3c1,153$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.16714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328b…fa07backed No5c1,148$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No2c1,141$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.197126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked No8c1,115$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…fb93backed No6c1,115$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No7c1,111$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.825129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked No11c1,086$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.474946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x223b…85dfbacked No4c1,083$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked No9c1,070$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No1c1,053$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8673…4025backed No2c1,038$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-83.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb306…9873backed No1c1,030$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed No6c1,029$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa64…a43dbacked No4c1,025$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed No11c1,000$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106352.9%1 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick15cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed No5c1,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed No2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183941%16 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9200…1b9bbacked No1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.956162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…edbebacked No12c994.3$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.