MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0158a8642698f792b4a00c7cb5959a1b37962f3043597634478b0274c0d68db

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof Washington Nationals, New York Mets
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $224,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $242,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals	38c	30,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,400	552	53.1%293 W · 259 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals	3c	20,395$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets	62c	20,000$12,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,600	983	49.8%490 W · 493 L	-18.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets	62c	19,368$12,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,359.93	883	49.3%435 W · 448 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	38c	19,253$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,316.13	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets	71c	17,777$12,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,155.33	262	57.3%150 W · 112 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	29c	15,026$4,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,357.47	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	62c	10,421$6,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,960.15	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Washington Nationals	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets	62c	9,060$5,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,442.75	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets	63c	7,500$4,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,775	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets	68c	6,574$4,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.45	488	50.2%245 W · 243 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	35c	5,759$2,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,037.62	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets	62c	5,262$3,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.48	311	49.2%153 W · 158 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Washington Nationals	7c	5,199$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.42	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…ea40backed Washington Nationals	18c	4,749$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f28…707dbacked Washington Nationals	38c	3,889$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.54	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets	62c	3,225$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.5	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals	38c	3,158$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals	38c	3,000$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed New York Mets	62c	2,661$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.29	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	296	49.7%147 W · 149 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets	72c	2,587$1,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.49	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets	62c	2,500$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets	78c	2,281$1,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.42	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets	62c	2,112$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.5	338	52.7%178 W · 160 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets	71c	2,098$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.3	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	277	51.6%143 W · 134 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Washington Nationals	9c	2,000$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb58f…a45cbacked Washington Nationals	3c	1,989$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked New York Mets	62c	1,584$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.02	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets	62c	1,531$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked New York Mets	62c	1,495$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.1	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-7.5wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	26c	1,366$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.6	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals	39c	1,291$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.52	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets	64c	1,139$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.59	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Washington Nationals	35c	1,100$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals	38c	1,020$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.84	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed New York Mets	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-12.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Washington Nationals	2c	898.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	263	15.6%41 W · 222 L	-11.9wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed New York Mets	61c	879$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.81	523	47.2%247 W · 276 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Washington Nationals	37c	837.06$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.71	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Washington Nationals	38c	800$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	117	44.4%52 W · 65 L	-9.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Washington Nationals	38c	700$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals	28c	688$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.64	856	35.7%306 W · 550 L	-24.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Washington Nationals	13c	649.98$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	280	31.1%87 W · 193 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals	31c	629$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.94	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Washington Nationals	25c	590.98$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.1	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-17.2wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Washington Nationals	26c	569.32$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.71	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets	79c	552.06$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.07	801	59.2%474 W · 327 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed New York Mets	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	145	55.9%81 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed New York Mets	61c	484.12$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.81	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals	28c	477.13$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.03	1,153	42.8%494 W · 659 L	-37.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Washington Nationals	38c	444$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.72	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets	61c	442.37$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.52	1,293	47.3%611 W · 682 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	62c	440.84$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.52	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Washington Nationals	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Washington Nationals	20c	392.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.56	503	37.2%187 W · 316 L	-42.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Mets	63c	320$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.4	483	54.7%264 W · 219 L	+20.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Washington Nationals	25c	317$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.21	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	5c	302.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Washington Nationals	38c	286.13$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.25	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1332…2b23backed Washington Nationals	41c	284.3$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.73	114	31.6%36 W · 78 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets	71c	282.23$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.23	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Washington Nationals	16c	280.85$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	310	32.9%102 W · 208 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Washington Nationals	38c	275$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	785	50.2%394 W · 391 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed New York Mets	75c	252.52$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.23	396	40.9%162 W · 234 L	-25.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Washington Nationals	18c	242.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.74	335	15.5%52 W · 283 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64c…41dabacked Washington Nationals	39c	217.73$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.91	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Washington Nationals	38c	207.37$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.8	332	41.3%137 W · 195 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	38c	200.07$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	3,303	46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L	+22.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	415	49.2%204 W · 211 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed New York Mets	61c	198$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.22	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Washington Nationals	38c	194.5$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.91	282	44.7%126 W · 156 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals	38c	189.47$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	592	43.2%256 W · 336 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed New York Mets	59c	188.98$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.68	144	51.4%74 W · 70 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed New York Mets	61c	174.49$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.05	493	58.8%290 W · 203 L	+30.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed New York Mets	61c	162.63$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.42	186	48.4%90 W · 96 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a22…3652backed New York Mets	62c	160.94$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.94	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9366…25e0backed New York Mets	62c	155.15$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.96	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals	32c	150$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Washington Nationals	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets	71c	148.77$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.14	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f26…fe92backed New York Mets	66c	148.42$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.46	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1f3…bbf5backed New York Mets	69c	145.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85ed…4f29backed New York Mets	62c	141.85$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.9	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Washington Nationals	39c	141.03$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	175	58.3%102 W · 73 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed New York Mets	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Washington Nationals	29c	131.85$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	99	33.3%33 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9b…888fbacked Washington Nationals	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Washington Nationals	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+8.2wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Washington Nationals	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	261	48.3%126 W · 135 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals	27c	129.96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	1,139	42.7%486 W · 653 L	+11.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Washington Nationals	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Washington Nationals	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed Washington Nationals	39c	119.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.44	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets	62c	110.62$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.04	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets	71c	109.58$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.78	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsthis page
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event