NBA · resolved market
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d810a30ebb77e1634a3a3072fac19155275aba3880d919e2a6011a7e6cde14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac25…433fbacked No | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 25c | 7,298$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.49 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 72c | 3,189$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 27c | 734.18$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked No | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 66c | 578.05$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked No | 56c | 522.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 40c | 511.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Yes | 76c | 388.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked Yes | 66c | 327.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 73c | 297.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…33d7backed No | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Yes | 63c | 266$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3748backed No | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 21c | 242.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 34c | 219.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 68c | 200.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…5b34backed No | 73c | 164.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…5cffbacked Yes | 67c | 159.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 43c | 151.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…21a8backed No | 70c | 142.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaf…20c0backed Yes | 75c | 132.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 20c | 111.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 69c | 103.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed Yes | 77c | 96.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979c…8e01backed No | 25c | 81.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…36d1backed Yes | 20c | 75.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 25c | 71.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed No | 25c | 71.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 30c | 70.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Yes | 25c | 63.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked No | 57c | 58.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…cc45backed No | 22c | 54.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 40c | 53.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…2fd6backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 52c | 53.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 28c | 44.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 50c | 42.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked Yes | 72c | 41.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94f…25f6backed Yes | 74c | 40.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Yes | 74c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed Yes | 78c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…4adbbacked Yes | 73c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 68c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Yes | 68c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…2fc1backed Yes | 77c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Yes | 73c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…eb20backed Yes | 77c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will Atlanta Hawks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Golden State Warriors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Phoenix Suns advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.