TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Yes60c7,513$4,508 inWon+$3,00549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No40c7,270$2,897 inLost-$2,896.758143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Yes80c6,331$5,055 inWon+$1,276.185940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No21c5,989$1,253 inLost-$1,252.6617162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No2c830$18 inLost-$17.79627.1%26 W · 70 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Yes71c416.71$295 inWon+$121.9725753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5997…5448backed No31c308.98$96 inLost-$95.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No23c203.64$47 inLost-$46.623928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5358…5243backed No31c192$59 inLost-$59.385628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes76c178.64$136 inWon+$42.8776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No30c150$45 inLost-$4518246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…a226backed Yes50c135.72$68 inWon+$67.864656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes74c133.22$98 inWon+$34.7813051.5%67 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No16c100$16 inLost-$1625845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No20c98.71$20 inLost-$19.7495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228e…08efbacked No54c36.01$19 inLost-$19.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes70c35.07$25 inWon+$10.526368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c4…dff6backed Yes66c32.65$22 inWon+$11.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f7…d24bbacked Yes70c28.06$20 inWon+$8.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…f3d7backed No54c27.01$15 inLost-$14.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c22.12$11 inWon+$11.2884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.