MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0753f0c04a22192765ffc339a57929fa698bb4b61e8d4763d5d5fa04424945a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 19,439$7,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 13,266$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 31c | 13,042$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.09 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 8,766$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 7,846$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 6,877$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.95 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 5,677$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.53 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 4,646$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 3,859$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 3,663$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.16 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,276$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.33 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 2,977$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.22 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,874$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.02 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 2,740$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 2,643$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 2,450$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 2,424$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 2,075$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,951$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.06 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,714$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,683$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 1,433$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,407$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.85 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.16 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,278$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,257$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,239$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,162$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.09 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,102$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.11 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,081$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.75 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,040$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,025$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.23 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.9 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 999.27$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.72 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 857.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 799.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 790.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 746.26$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 680.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 675.09$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 507.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.83 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 496.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 491.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 460.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 430.56$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 400.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 396.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…0d98backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 394.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 367.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.18 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 350.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 340.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.68 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 332.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 324$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 315.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 310$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 287$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 286.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 285.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 283.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 272.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 246.49$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 238.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 232.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 228.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 218.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 217$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 208.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 207.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 206$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 197.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 178.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 173.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 170.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 168.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 166.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2c…a59fbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 164.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 157.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…dcc5backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 155.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.