TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies54c27,576$15,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,016.6177053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics67c25,083$16,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,274.71,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies30c24,998$7,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,622.7110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics61c16,547$10,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,527.222,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Philadelphia Phillies54c15,722$8,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,490.0641149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics68c15,004$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.366,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95df…49cabacked Athletics45c13,432$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,387.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies56c13,158$7,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.691,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Philadelphia Phillies1c12,825$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8414134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies55c12,627$6,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,946.864,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics51c11,545$5,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,637.958,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics44c9,000$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0055,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies0c8,489$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.698762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Athletics69c7,436$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.8644744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Philadelphia Phillies56c7,085$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies22c6,302$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.488,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics45c5,555$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Philadelphia Phillies34c5,155$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.215050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies19c4,399$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.641,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Philadelphia Phillies46c3,600$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63821842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Philadelphia Phillies3c2,999$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9722831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Philadelphia Phillies49c2,660$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.599431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies26c2,387$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.381,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies21c2,324$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c2,253$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Philadelphia Phillies17c2,217$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.499535.8%34 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics67c2,100$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.721,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Athletics43c1,889$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Philadelphia Phillies55c1,888$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Athletics46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics44c1,504$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.022,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Athletics75c1,300$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32147589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics80c1,300$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.192,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies54c1,271$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.663,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Philadelphia Phillies1c1,270$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.315852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Athletics43c1,187$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.156256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies55c1,129$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.222,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Philadelphia Phillies36c1,112$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3952347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies26c1,062$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5179147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Athletics66c1,048$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3259549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Athletics45c984.86$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6755052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies24c828.33$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.944,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Philadelphia Phillies56c760.07$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.6438444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Athletics45c706.68$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.2173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Athletics68c694.44$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.222,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Philadelphia Phillies55c660.66$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.6520258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Athletics68c624.99$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies12c618.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4860941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf471…f483backed Athletics46c586.96$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Athletics68c586.65$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.731,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Athletics46c566.53$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.939435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda51…ef7fbacked Athletics79c537.3$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.834436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Athletics68c533$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.561,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Athletics68c510.63$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.41,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics68c466.94$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.421,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics68c437.49$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.051,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics68c437.41$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…a73abacked Athletics46c427.2$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.695038%19 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies14c412.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.821,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Athletics68c410.95$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.56647%31 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Athletics44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22439850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Athletics45c364$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.22722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Philadelphia Phillies55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009146.2%42 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Athletics44c360$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Philadelphia Phillies27c309.49$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.558643%37 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics44c299.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics44c299.92$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.696,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies33c255.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7271850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Philadelphia Phillies28c251.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2939640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Philadelphia Phillies20c250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2716232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Philadelphia Phillies55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4977050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…6979backed Philadelphia Phillies56c243$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.081040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Athletics44c241$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9637348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies24c237.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4960348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Athletics46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3924950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Athletics46c216.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.86756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Athletics66c210.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Athletics46c203.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.785742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Athletics45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.791,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Athletics44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11241549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f2…c05cbacked Philadelphia Phillies21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Philadelphia Phillies34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c196.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies30c195.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4815243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Philadelphia Phillies11c187.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811451.8%59 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Athletics45c184.14$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.181,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics44c180$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x563c…0dbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies21c179.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6111449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c178.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985540%22 W · 33 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies37c173.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.843,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Philadelphia Phillies34c170.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0428244.7%126 W · 156 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics45c160$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.81,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a22…fb80backed Philadelphia Phillies56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb035…b96bbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c157.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics45c155.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.671,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.