MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63664ab9ed86591928f9e2ff1b56e7528df6068701c76a65914d9d38a5785743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 19,565$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 18,395$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 15,085$9,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.25 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 15,002$7,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,376.52 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 13,967$6,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980.19 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 13,409$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,927.33 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.99 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 9,747$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 9,199$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.8 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 7,857$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.64 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,385$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 5,550$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.1 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 4,780$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.45 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 4,452$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.01 | 1,160 | 42.6%494 W · 666 L | -40.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 4,443$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.56 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 4,254$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.66 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,949$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.39 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,257$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.25 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,022$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.56 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,017$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,955$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,933$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.76 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 2,489$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 1,206 | 29.1%351 W · 855 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,432$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.91 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,387$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.01 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,187$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.55 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 1,920$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,819$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,809$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,732$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,725$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.7 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,631$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.16 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,630$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.43 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,590$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.84 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,533$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.41 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,514$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.73 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,455$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.52 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 1,191$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.23 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,028$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 960.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 935.2$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.46 | 1,734 | 50.4%874 W · 860 L | +57.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 850$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 841.76$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.81 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 833.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 804$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 715.05$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 692$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 690.34$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.43 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 626$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 581.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 570.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 508.33$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 487.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 481.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 475.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 471.75$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 433.69$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 431.3$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 427.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 424.52$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 395.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 382.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 366.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 334.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | -22.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 316.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 312.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 307$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 276.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 275.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 275.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 59.1%270 W · 187 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 260.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 253.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…5116backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 252.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 251.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.