WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb470a71b171ab685922be9b43c80bd30dcfdcff76d62b12ec466d08225e7e6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 1,668$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Connecticut Sun | 11c | 659.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun | 7c | 567.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Connecticut Sun | 21c | 400.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Connecticut Sun | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Connecticut Sun | 26c | 271$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 6c | 214.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Connecticut Sun | 7c | 198.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 6c | 167.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 105.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 100.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3775…3debbacked Connecticut Sun | 26c | 94.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Connecticut Sun | 23c | 94.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 85.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 82.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Connecticut Sun | 24c | 49.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked New York Liberty | 77c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed New York Liberty | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed New York Liberty | 73c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked New York Liberty | 80c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked New York Liberty | 80c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.