TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titouan Droguetof Juan Martin, Titouan Droguet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Martin38c19,739$7,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,552.188,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed Juan Martin23c13,971$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2344928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Titouan Droguet55c12,100$6,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,44531234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Juan Martin41c11,884$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.775350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Titouan Droguet64c10,000$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.842572%18 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Juan Martin22c8,118$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.787,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Titouan Droguet79c7,065$5,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.894,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Titouan Droguet77c6,569$5,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.6265558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Juan Martin17c5,492$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.449252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Titouan Droguet58c3,523$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.194068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Juan Martin17c3,348$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.691,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Juan Martin10c3,016$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.733732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Juan Martin12c2,788$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307635.5%27 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick29cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Juan Martin27c2,666$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.975,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Titouan Droguet80c2,502$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9820459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Titouan Droguet65c2,353$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.234067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Juan Martin8c2,300$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcae…fe45backed Titouan Droguet74c1,847$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.543762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Martin27c1,616$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Juan Martin19c1,417$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1330844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Martin13c1,063$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.272,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Martin34c1,029$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.544,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Juan Martin40c921.12$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27aa…3680backed Titouan Droguet69c915.71$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.872166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Titouan Droguet69c815.39$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7713360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Juan Martin20c810.3$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6827940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Titouan Droguet76c794.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2327040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Titouan Droguet62c769.13$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.711248.2%54 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Juan Martin17c751.34$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.125343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Titouan Droguet55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9659165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Titouan Droguet70c714.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.286264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Titouan Droguet69c698.32$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.322458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Juan Martin29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Titouan Droguet65c683.38$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Juan Martin41c682.68$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7517359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Martin22c637.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.779,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Juan Martin12c615.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2884640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Juan Martin19c614.16$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2557321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Juan Martin40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Titouan Droguet54c600$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.271833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Juan Martin21c514.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ae…3a05backed Titouan Droguet70c508.54$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.54344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Martin40c480.5$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.14,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Juan Martin35c427.27$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3928348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80a…c494backed Juan Martin26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…b5c5backed Titouan Droguet80c375.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.199057.8%52 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Titouan Droguet75c369.45$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0641060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Martin45c365.2$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.347,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Martin19c331.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.036,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Juan Martin31c317.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Juan Martin19c314.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6851339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Juan Martin24c306.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Titouan Droguet66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Titouan Droguet76c294.81$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Titouan Droguet63c282.46$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3211162.2%69 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Juan Martin28c275.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.235032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Titouan Droguet75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6760158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Titouan Droguet73c253.68$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4945445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Titouan Droguet56c226.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7972132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed Titouan Droguet56c225.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3210546.7%49 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Martin25c224.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.296,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Juan Martin16c211.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5554634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68f…8d49backed Juan Martin27c204.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Juan Martin16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Titouan Droguet76c195.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3720949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Titouan Droguet65c189.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2311547%54 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Titouan Droguet69c180.26$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7756070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc0…8e67backed Titouan Droguet56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Titouan Droguet75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Titouan Droguet69c162.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4519351.8%100 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed Titouan Droguet63c159.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.372065%13 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Titouan Droguet57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Titouan Droguet78c145$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.910266.7%68 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Juan Martin32c140.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458950.6%45 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3775…3debbacked Juan Martin22c136.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Titouan Droguet74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1473458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Titouan Droguet75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked Titouan Droguet76c131.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.961457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a9e4backed Juan Martin39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+132%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Juan Martin45c120.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.523,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Titouan Droguet66c116.36$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.566650%33 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Juan Martin12c102.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8290335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Juan Martin17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177450%37 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300a…40d3backed Titouan Droguet74c95.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3411469.3%79 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Titouan Droguet54c91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8618540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Juan Martin13c85.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed Juan Martin30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256738.8%26 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Titouan Droguet74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0827667%185 W · 91 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Juan Martin39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Juan Martin20c76.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Titouan Droguet68c72.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1321845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Titouan Droguet69c71.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9811646.6%54 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe736…9d9fbacked Juan Martin16c70.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Titouan Droguet53c69.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8124463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Titouan Droguet58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.978758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Juan Martin39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Titouan Droguet60c60.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.844,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1972…9dbabacked Juan Martin31c59.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Juan Martin30c59.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Juan Martin24c59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.