Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ef0b42767e2e4cd1123414c0fd487fde828f396b0c844549199a0a8b2e1fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Otto Virtanen | 37c | 16,670$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.8 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Otto Virtanen | 18c | 10,429$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.59 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 64c | 10,283$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.81 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Otto Virtanen | 39c | 7,633$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.56 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 7,500$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.15 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 56c | 7,208$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.32 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 31c | 6,834$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.48 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 73c | 4,415$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.84 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Otto Virtanen | 6c | 3,644$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Otto Virtanen | 75c | 3,138$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.54 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Otto Virtanen | 76c | 3,041$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 2,903$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.23 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Otto Virtanen | 41c | 2,519$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.78 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 2,458$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.36 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Otto Virtanen | 41c | 2,454$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 2,261$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.63 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 2,203$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.97 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Otto Virtanen | 40c | 2,141$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.95 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Otto Virtanen | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.2 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 1,726$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.22 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 1,509$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.08 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 363 | 61.7%224 W · 139 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…20b2backed Otto Virtanen | 6c | 1,420$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 1,344$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.33 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 1,176$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 1,092$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.69 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 1,033$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.54 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 1,000$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.04 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Otto Virtanen | 30c | 984.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Otto Virtanen | 34c | 942.92$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.59 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Otto Virtanen | 64c | 896.43$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.18 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 33c | 873.05$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.51 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 837.28$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.35 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 37c | 816$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.23 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 769$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.37 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 28c | 714$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.08 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 64c | 704$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.63 | 474 | 49.6%235 W · 239 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…a0e9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Otto Virtanen | 37c | 677.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 26c | 644.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.77 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 620.25$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Otto Virtanen | 36c | 560.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 272 | 62.9%171 W · 101 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 505.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 505$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 504.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Otto Virtanen | 39c | 503.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Otto Virtanen | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…0d50backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c494backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Otto Virtanen | 35c | 443.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Otto Virtanen | 38c | 441.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…3a05backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 424.59$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Otto Virtanen | 52c | 417.52$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…5372backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…c479backed Otto Virtanen | 65c | 397.09$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 32c | 389.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 1,667 | 52.8%881 W · 786 L | +43.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 382.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 371.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Otto Virtanen | 40c | 369.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 348.37$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…6c43backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 347.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Otto Virtanen | 42c | 330.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…9a5abacked Otto Virtanen | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 317.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 314.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…9bffbacked Otto Virtanen | 75c | 306.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 301.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 300$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 34c | 297.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 872 | 37.2%324 W · 548 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 296.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Otto Virtanen | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 39c | 274.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 270.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Otto Virtanen | 37c | 270.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 270.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 258.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Otto Virtanen | 70c | 249.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 277 | 32.1%89 W · 188 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Otto Virtanen | 25c | 237.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 237.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 230.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 77c | 228.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 227.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 894 | 35.9%321 W · 573 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Otto Virtanen | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Otto Virtanen | 43c | 209.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 301 | 58.8%177 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 202$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 887 | 49.8%442 W · 445 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs VirtanenVirtanen won
- Set Handicap: Kjaer (-1.5) vs Virtanen (+1.5)Virtanen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.