TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,221 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f09…9312backed 76ers51c2,668$1,359 inLost-$1,358.789547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers47c2,122$997 inLost-$997.1169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Celtics53c1,750$924 inWon+$825.927848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics51c1,156$590 inWon+$566.361,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics49c1,080$529 inWon+$550.8850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics49c717.75$352 inWon+$366.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Celtics53c539.45$286 inWon+$253.545743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Celtics49c482.04$237 inWon+$244.6887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked 76ers49c446.36$219 inLost-$218.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics49c385.02$189 inWon+$196.362,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics52c373.54$194 inWon+$179.336248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers48c345.96$166 inLost-$166.0656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed 76ers49c276.97$136 inLost-$135.7221950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked 76ers49c239.49$117 inLost-$117.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed 76ers54c108.61$59 inLost-$58.657256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed 76ers46c102.98$47 inLost-$4720353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Celtics50c100$50 inWon+$5022850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics54c99.29$53 inWon+$45.991,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed 76ers49c98.92$48 inLost-$48.4742740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked 76ers50c96.91$48 inLost-$48.345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1160…e3f7backed 76ers49c91.08$45 inLost-$44.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+204.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf2…8bf0backed 76ers50c87.71$44 inLost-$43.975947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers39c59.37$23 inLost-$23.3761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fc…d401backed 76ers54c52.26$28 inLost-$28.266068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3775…3debbacked 76ers40c48.46$19 inLost-$19.282339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked 76ers51c47.58$24 inLost-$24.279748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Celtics46c43.24$20 inWon+$23.3513047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Celtics53c39.17$21 inWon+$18.4131748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 76ers51c38.82$20 inLost-$19.81,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cd…da0dbacked 76ers49c33.15$16 inLost-$16.244647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d6…7999backed Celtics52c30.11$16 inWon+$14.452152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed 76ers51c28.55$15 inLost-$14.566241.9%26 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Celtics61c20.72$13 inWon+$8.1816867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.